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Should I start Derrick Henry or Tony Pollard in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 8:26 AM ET.

Derrick Henry and Tony Pollard are too close to call on usage: 58 percent of the snaps and 75 percent of the carries against 57 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries over their last 3 games. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tony Pollard for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 9 games), Tony Pollard 89 (9.9 a game over 9 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB7 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 4-3

Market-based projection
16.3 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
35

RB26 · TEN · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 5-2

Market-based projection
12.2 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
77

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The gap

  • Board size292 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 35th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tony Pollard, and the board ranks him 77th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 6.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Tony Pollard is 3.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Derrick Henry's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 58 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 15 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have come 3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 24 times for 102 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Tony Pollard has been on the field for 55 percent of TEN snaps, taken 70 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 9 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 16 targets have averaged 1.4 air yards.

In Week 5 against HOU he carried 14 times for 52 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he carried 19 times for 76 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CLE he carried 25 times for 129 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 26 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tony Pollard played 17 games and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He carried 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 more yards.

That came to 14.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Tony Pollard 10.9, 5.5 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 that year and Tony Pollard RB23.

Derrick Henry had 65 more carries than Tony Pollard, 307 to 242.

Tony Pollard had 18 more catches than Derrick Henry, 33 to 15.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger snap share, 58 percent against 55 percent.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 71 percent against 70 percent.

Byes and availability

Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and Tony Pollard in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tony Pollard for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 9 games), Tony Pollard 89 (9.9 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Tony Pollard?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 9 games), Tony Pollard 89 (9.9 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Derrick Henry?Should I drop Tony Pollard?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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