Skip to main content

Should I start Derrick Henry or Luther Burden III in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Start Luther Burden III: 61 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Derrick Henry's 55 percent of the snaps and 69 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games).

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Advertisement

Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB7 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 4-4

Market-based projection
13.9 pts a game

WR9 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
12.2 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
27

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

The market-based projections

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 13.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Luther Burden III, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 57 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 61 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 9 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 1 of its 1 two minute target.

His 4 targets have averaged 9.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against NE he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 130 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 7.9 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 and Luther Burden III WR48, which are two different ladders.

Derrick Henry is a running back and Luther Burden III a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Derrick Henry is off in Week 13 and Luther Burden III in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Luther Burden III has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

Next duels