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Start Luther Burden III or Jalen Coker? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:46 AM ET.

Start Luther Burden III over Jalen Coker

Burden projects lower, 12.5 to 13.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 51 for Burden, 126 for Coker.

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
12.5
recent weeks avg
TB D vs WR
29.9
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
61%
Through Week 7
Target share
13%
Through Week 7
Sit

Jalen Coker

WR · CAR · vs DEN

Market projects
13.3
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs WR
27.8
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
70%
Through Week 8
Target share
21%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Jalen Coker?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Coker projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.1 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over Jalen Coker. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Luther Burden III over Jalen Coker in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 12.5 points and Jalen Coker at 13.3, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Luther Burden III still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 51 against 126, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Luther Burden III this week yet, so his 12.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (12.6, 12.7 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jalen Coker this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (12.2, 14.6 and 13.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jalen Coker yet. His market-based projections were 12.2, 14.6 and 13.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jalen Coker is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Luther Burden III yet. His market-based projections were 12.6, 12.7 and 12.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 12.5, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Jalen Coker 0.8 points ahead of Luther Burden III on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Jalen Coker and CAR host DEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DEN allowed 27.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 136 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against DEN.

Luther Burden III and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 29.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 135 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Coker is not on the injury report.

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Jalen Coker played 70 percent of CAR snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 25 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Coker, Week 3 against CLE: 28 of 77 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Jalen Coker, Week 6 against PHI: 59 of 79 snaps, 13 targets and 6 catches for 97 yards.

Jalen Coker, Week 7 against TB: 37 of 56 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Coker, Week 8 against GB: 63 of 73 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Luther Burden III played 61 percent of CHI snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Luther Burden III, Week 7 against NE: 42 of 69 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 130 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Coker played 11 games for CAR and scored 90.4 PPR points, 8.2 a game, finishing WR69.

He caught 33 of 43 targets for 394 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 292 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for Jalen Coker?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Coker projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.1 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over Jalen Coker. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Jalen Coker for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep Jalen Coker: he projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (13.1 a game over 9 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Luther Burden III over Jalen Coker.

Should I drop Jalen Coker?Should I drop Luther Burden III?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board