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Start Deshaun Watson or Geno Smith? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Deshaun Watson: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Deshaun Watson: Listed Questionable (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

QB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs QB
19.0
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · CLE · vs HOU · Out

Market projects
14.4
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs QB
18.5
12th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Geno Smith for Deshaun Watson?

Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games) and Deshaun Watson 109 (15.5 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Geno Smith over Deshaun Watson in Week 10.

Deshaun Watson is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Geno Smith.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.0, 15.6 and 14.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Deshaun Watson yet. His market-based projections were 13.5 and 15.3 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 14.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Geno Smith 0.5 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Deshaun Watson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 263 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Deshaun Watson is listed as out with a concussion injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 9 against KC: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 8, Deshaun Watson played 99 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 306 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 5 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 6 against BAL: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 29 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 7 against TEN: 70 of 70 snaps, 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 8 against PIT: 66 of 70 snaps, 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Deshaun Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games) and Deshaun Watson 109 (15.5 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Geno Smith?

    Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 109 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.5 a game over 7 games) and Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.

Should I drop Deshaun Watson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board