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Start Deshaun Watson or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 1:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Deshaun Watson: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Deshaun Watson: Listed Questionable (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson is listed out, so Michael Penix Jr. starts despite the lower projection.

Start

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
15.1
fantasy pts
KC D vs QB
13.9
7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
15 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

Deshaun Watson

QB · CLE · vs HOU · Out

Market projects
15.2
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
18.5
12th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Deshaun Watson?

Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 7 games) and Deshaun Watson 107 (15.3 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.

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Michael Penix Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson in Week 10.

Deshaun Watson is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Michael Penix Jr..

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.2 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Deshaun Watson is 208 passing yards, 29 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (4, 4 and 6 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.1 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 218 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions, 8 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (7, 8, 6, 7 and 7 market sources).

That puts Deshaun Watson 0.1 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Deshaun Watson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 263 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and a touchdown a game against KC, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Deshaun Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Deshaun Watson is listed as out with a concussion injury.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Deshaun Watson played 99 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 306 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 5 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 6 against BAL: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 29 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 7 against TEN: 70 of 70 snaps, 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 8 against PIT: 66 of 70 snaps, 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 53 of 53 snaps, 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 9 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 50 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Deshaun Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 7 games) and Deshaun Watson 107 (15.3 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.

  • Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Michael Penix Jr.?

    Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 107 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 7 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 104 (14.9 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Deshaun Watson. Deshaun Watson is listed out.

Should I drop Deshaun Watson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board