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Should I start Geno Smith or Deshaun Watson in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 4:36 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Deshaun Watson: Listed Questionable (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 9 verdict

Start Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith

Start

Deshaun Watson

QB · CLE · at NO · Questionable

Market projects
15.2
recent weeks avg
NO D vs QB
17.8
16th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
59 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · at KC

Market projects
14.0
fantasy pts
KC D vs QB
13.9
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
23 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Start Watson or Smith? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith in Week 9. Smith faces KC, which allows the 6th fewest fantasy points to QBs. Watson is listed questionable.

Should I drop Geno Smith for Deshaun Watson?

Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 120 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 8 games) and Deshaun Watson 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith. Deshaun Watson is listed questionable.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Geno Smith

QB28 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 6-2

Market-based projection
14.8 pts a game

Deshaun Watson

QB33 · CLE · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 5-3

Market-based projection
15.4 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
228

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Geno Smith, and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Deshaun Watson, and the board ranks him 228th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Geno Smith's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 46th highest figure of the 226 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Deshaun Watson is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Deshaun Watson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 272 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 46 of 272 dropbacks and scrambled 11 times.

In Week 6 against NE he completed 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

In Week 7 against MIA he completed 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against LV he completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Through Week 8, Deshaun Watson has been on the field for 99 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 306 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 65 of 306 dropbacks and scrambled 24 times.

In Week 6 against BAL he completed 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 8 times for 29 yards.

In Week 7 against TEN he completed 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

In Week 8 against PIT he completed 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

The season feed carries no line for Deshaun Watson in the last completed season.

Head to head

This season Geno Smith holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 99 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Geno Smith is off in Week 13 and Deshaun Watson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Deshaun Watson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Deshaun Watson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Deshaun Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 120 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 8 games) and Deshaun Watson 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith. Deshaun Watson is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Geno Smith?

    Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 124 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.5 a game over 8 games) and Geno Smith 120 (15.0 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith. Deshaun Watson is listed questionable.

Should I drop Deshaun Watson?Should I drop Geno Smith?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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