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Start Dylan Sampson or Keaton Mitchell? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 12:51 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Dylan Sampson: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

RB · CLE · at NO

Market projects
6.1
recent weeks avg
NO D vs RB
30.0
most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
46%
Through Week 8
Target share
15%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · LAC · vs HOU

Market projects
5.8
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Dylan Sampson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dylan Sampson projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Dylan Sampson at 6.1 points and Keaton Mitchell at 5.8, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Dylan Sampson this week yet, so his 6.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (5.9 and 6.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell this week yet, so his 5.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (7.0 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dylan Sampson at ADP 187 and Keaton Mitchell at 190.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dylan Sampson yet. His market-based projections were 5.9 and 6.4 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 6.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 7.0 and 4.6 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 5.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Dylan Sampson 0.3 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Dylan Sampson and CLE visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 30.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 120 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 38 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC host HOU on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Dylan Sampson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dylan Sampson is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Dylan Sampson played 46 percent of CLE snaps, took 16 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Dylan Sampson, Week 7 against TEN: 32 of 70 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 8 against PIT: 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 62 yards.

Through Week 8, Keaton Mitchell played 32 percent of LAC snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 8 against LAR: 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dylan Sampson, Week 18 of 2025 against CIN: 10 carries for 32 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Dylan Sampson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dylan Sampson projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Keaton Mitchell?

    No. Keep Dylan Sampson: he projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell.

Should I drop Dylan Sampson?Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board