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Should I start Michael Wilson or Efton Chism III in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 10:21 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Michael Wilson: Listed Questionable (Ribs, Fracture) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Michael Wilson: Listed Questionable (Ribs, Soreness) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Michael Wilson: 87 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Efton Chism III's 76 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR46 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
13.1 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
120

WR47 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
122

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Wilson, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Michael Wilson is 2.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 2.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Michael Wilson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 89 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 22 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 9 of its 29 chances inside the five and seen 22 of its 57 two minute targets.

His 81 targets have averaged 11.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against LAR he caught 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 2 times for 11 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DAL he carried 1 time for 17 yards, caught 8 of 15 targets for 111 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 76 percent of NE snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 1 of 1 target for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 5 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Wilson was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Michael Wilson scored 13.0 PPR points a game and Efton Chism III 2.1, 10.9 a game between them.

Michael Wilson had 123 more targets than Efton Chism III, 126 to 3.

Michael Wilson had 931 more receiving yards than Efton Chism III, 1006 to 75.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 89 percent against 76 percent.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger target share, 26 percent against 12 percent.

Byes and availability

Michael Wilson is off in Week 14 and Efton Chism III in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Michael Wilson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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