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Should I start Nate Boerkircher or Efton Chism III in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 10:21 AM ET.

Start Efton Chism III: 76 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Nate Boerkircher's 51 percent of the snaps and 5 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE21 · JAX · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
2.3 pts a game

WR47 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
122

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The gap

  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nate Boerkircher, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Nate Boerkircher's market-based projection is 2.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 109th highest figure of the 211 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 2.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Efton Chism III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Nate Boerkircher has been on the field for 48 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 6.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 2 of 2 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 1 target for 31 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 76 percent of NE snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 1 of 1 target for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 5 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Nate Boerkircher is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

Nate Boerkircher is a tight end and Efton Chism III a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Efton Chism III is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Nate Boerkircher.

What would change the answer

Efton Chism III has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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