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Should I start Gardner Minshew II or Joe Milton in Week 9?

Updated Nov 5, 6:26 AM ET.

Start Gardner Minshew II: his market-based projection is 0.2 points a game ahead of Joe Milton's this season.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB29 · ARI · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
11.8 pts a game

QB30 · PHI · bye unlisted

Market-based projection
11.6 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference0.2 points a game
  • Board size312 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Gardner Minshew II's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 68th highest figure of the 227 players with a market-based projection.

Joe Milton's market-based projection is 11.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 227 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Gardner Minshew II, and the board ranks him 162nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Milton, and the board ranks him 165th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Gardner Minshew II has been on the field for 42 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 21 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 21 dropbacks.

In Week 8 against DAL he completed 17 of 20 passes for 188 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

The usage feed holds no snap or target counts for Joe Milton this season.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Gardner Minshew II played 4 games and scored 0.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing QB72.

He threw for 37 yards on 13 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, and ran for 2 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 3.3 attempts a game at 2.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Joe Milton played 4 games and scored 12.3 PPR points, 3.1 a game, finishing QB57.

He threw for 183 yards on 24 attempts with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, and ran for 50 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 6.0 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 2 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 4 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Joe Milton scored 3.1 PPR points a game and Gardner Minshew II 0.2, 2.9 a game between them.

Gardner Minshew II finished QB72 that year and Joe Milton QB57.

Joe Milton had 11 more pass attempts than Gardner Minshew II, 24 to 13.

Joe Milton had 146 more passing yards than Gardner Minshew II, 183 to 37.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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