Should I start Gardner Minshew II or Geno Smith in Week 9?
Updated Nov 4, 2:36 PM ET. Week 10 answers post Tuesday.
Start Geno Smith: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Gardner Minshew II's 42 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.
QB28 · ARI · bye unlisted
- Market-based projection
- 9.4 pts a game
QB33 · NYJ · bye 13
2026 vs pass yds line 6-2
- Market-based projection
- 15.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 227
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The gap
- Board size308 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Gardner Minshew II, and the board ranks him 218th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Geno Smith, and the board ranks him 227th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
Gardner Minshew II's market-based projection is 9.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 87th highest figure of the 224 players with a market-based projection.
The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 0.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Geno Smith's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 8
Through Week 8, Gardner Minshew II has been on the field for 42 percent of ARI snaps, dropped back 21 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 21 dropbacks.
In Week 8 against DAL he completed 17 of 20 passes for 188 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Through Week 8, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 272 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 46 of 272 dropbacks and scrambled 11 times.
In Week 6 against NE he completed 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.
In Week 7 against MIA he completed 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
In Week 8 against LV he completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Gardner Minshew II played 4 games and scored 0.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing QB72.
He threw for 37 yards on 13 attempts with 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, and ran for 2 yards and 0 touchdowns.
That came to 3.3 attempts a game at 2.8 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.
He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.
That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Geno Smith was available for 11 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Geno Smith scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Gardner Minshew II 0.2, 12.6 a game between them.
Gardner Minshew II finished QB72 that year and Geno Smith QB23.
Geno Smith had 435 more pass attempts than Gardner Minshew II, 448 to 13.
Geno Smith had 2988 more passing yards than Gardner Minshew II, 3025 to 37.
This season Geno Smith holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 42 percent.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Geno Smith is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Gardner Minshew II.
What would change the answer
Geno Smith has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.
Both players in full
Week 9 on the board
- Is Gardner Minshew II playing Week 9?
- Is Geno Smith playing Week 9?
- Cardinals depth chart
- Jets depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings
