Should I start Justin Jefferson or George Kittle in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 1:26 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start George Kittle: 90 percent of the snaps and 24 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Justin Jefferson's 67 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for George Kittle?

Yes, on the rest of the season. George Kittle projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.1 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).

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Your next move

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Justin Jefferson

WR7 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection: 15.6 pts a game

George Kittle

TE1 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 4-2

Market-based projection: 15.9 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank: 16

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The gap

Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 15th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on George Kittle, and the board ranks him 16th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 19th highest figure of the 183 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for George Kittle, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, George Kittle has been on the field for 75 percent of SF snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 36 targets have averaged 8.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 70 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SEA he caught 5 of 6 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against WAS he caught 5 of 8 targets for 69 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 George Kittle played 11 games and scored 161.5 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE13.

He caught 57 of 69 targets for 628 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 6.3 targets a game, a 83 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 6 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 George Kittle scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 2.8 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 and George Kittle TE13, which are two different ladders.

Justin Jefferson is a wide receiver and George Kittle a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6 and George Kittle in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

George Kittle has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for George Kittle?
Yes, on the rest of the season. George Kittle projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.1 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).
Should I drop George Kittle for Justin Jefferson?
No. Keep George Kittle: he projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.1 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).