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Should I start Luther Burden III or George Pickens in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · DAL · at PHI

Market projects
13.7
fantasy pts
PHI D vs WR
38.3
3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
91 of 100 at WR
Snap share
85%
Through Week 6
Target share
22%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · CHI · vs NE

Market projects
12.6
fantasy pts
NE D vs WR
31.7
16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
82 of 100 at WR
Start Pickens or Burden? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start George Pickens: 88 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Luther Burden III's 56 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Luther Burden III for George Pickens?

Yes, on the rest of the season. George Pickens projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts George Pickens over Luther Burden III, 13.7 to 12.6 projected PPR points.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR10 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
12.5 pts a game

WR36 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
15.3 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
91

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 18th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on George Pickens, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Luther Burden III's market-based projection is 12.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 181 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for George Pickens is 3.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

George Pickens's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 60 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 2 of its 31 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 43 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 4 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against ATL he caught 8 of 8 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, George Pickens has been on the field for 85 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 3 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 52 targets have averaged 11.2 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 2 of 3 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 9 of 13 targets for 130 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 George Pickens played 17 games and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.

He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 15.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

George Pickens was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 George Pickens scored 17.2 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 8.6 a game between them.

Luther Burden III finished WR48 that year and George Pickens WR5.

George Pickens had 77 more targets than Luther Burden III, 137 to 60.

George Pickens had 777 more receiving yards than Luther Burden III, 1429 to 652.

This season George Pickens holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 60 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 22 percent each.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and George Pickens in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

George Pickens has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for George Pickens?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. George Pickens projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts George Pickens over Luther Burden III, 13.7 to 12.6 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop George Pickens for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep George Pickens: he projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts George Pickens over Luther Burden III, 13.7 to 12.6 projected PPR points.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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