Start Luther Burden III or Germie Bernard? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 12:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Luther Burden III over Germie Bernard

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 12.6; fantasy pts
NE D vs WR: 31.7; 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at WR

Sit

Germie Bernard

WR · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 12.1; fantasy pts
NO D vs WR: 31.8; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 92 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 57%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Germie Bernard for Luther Burden III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Luther Burden III projects 114 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Germie Bernard, 12.6 to 12.1 projected PPR points.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Luther Burden III rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 7 call

Start Luther Burden III over Germie Bernard in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 12.6 points and Germie Bernard at 12.1, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 56 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Germie Bernard, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Germie Bernard is 55 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (11, 9 and 12 market sources).

That puts Luther Burden III 0.5 points ahead of Germie Bernard on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 31.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and a touchdown a game against NE.

Germie Bernard and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 31.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and a touchdown a game against NO.

By points allowed to the position, Germie Bernard has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Germie Bernard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Germie Bernard played 57 percent of PIT snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Germie Bernard, Week 3 against CIN: 17 of 62 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 14 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 4 against CLE: 29 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 5 against IND: 55 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 9 targets and 6 catches for 80 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 6 against TB: 74 of 79 snaps, 12 targets and 11 catches for 87 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Germie Bernard for Luther Burden III?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Luther Burden III projects 114 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Germie Bernard, 12.6 to 12.1 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Luther Burden III for Germie Bernard?
No. Keep Luther Burden III: he projects 114 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Germie Bernard, 12.6 to 12.1 projected PPR points.