Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Harold Fannin Jr. in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 27th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Harold Fannin Jr.'s market-based projection is 8.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 98th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Harold Fannin Jr., and the board ranks him 95th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and thrown 6.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 174 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

Through Week 6, Harold Fannin Jr. has been on the field for 88 percent of CLE snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 2 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have averaged 6.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against PIT he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against NYJ he caught 1 of 4 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against BAL he caught 1 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Harold Fannin Jr. played 16 games and scored 186.4 PPR points, 11.7 a game, finishing TE6.

He caught 72 of 107 targets for 731 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.7 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 10.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Harold Fannin Jr. was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Harold Fannin Jr. 11.7, 9.5 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Harold Fannin Jr. TE6, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Harold Fannin Jr. a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Harold Fannin Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

7.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.