Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Jahan Dotson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 14.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Jahan Dotson's market-based projection is 5.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 120th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jahan Dotson, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and thrown 7.1 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 93 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.

In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.

In Week 9 against CIN he completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 50 yards.

Through Week 9, Jahan Dotson has been on the field for 70 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 69 third down targets, had 1 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 15.7 air yards.

In Week 7 against SF he caught 1 of 3 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TB he caught 2 of 5 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against CIN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jahan Dotson played 17 games and scored 50.2 PPR points, 3.0 a game, finishing WR109.

He caught 18 of 36 targets for 262 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 2.1 targets a game, a 50 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jahan Dotson was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Jahan Dotson 3.0, 10.7 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. finished QB33 and Jahan Dotson WR109, which are two different ladders.

Michael Penix Jr. is a quarterback and Jahan Dotson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

9.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.