Should I start Jaylin Noel or Jake Ferguson in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Jaylin Noel's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 111th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 6.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 113th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylin Noel, and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 131st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 85 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 4 of 4 targets for 107 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 68 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylin Noel played 17 games and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 2.1 targets a game, a 74 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Jaylin Noel 4.0, 7.0 a game between them.

Jaylin Noel finished WR91 and Jake Ferguson TE5, which are two different ladders.

Jaylin Noel is a wide receiver and Jake Ferguson a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Jaylin Noel is off in Week 8 and Jake Ferguson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.