Should I start Jake Ferguson or Josh Downs in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 142nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 143rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jake Ferguson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 58 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 82 third down targets, had 1 of its 32 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 55 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ARI he was not given the ball.

In Week 9 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 57 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against DAL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 2.5 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 and Josh Downs WR44, which are two different ladders.

Jake Ferguson is a tight end and Josh Downs a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14 and Josh Downs in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Jake Ferguson is listed as out on the injury report.