Should I start Jake Ferguson or Noah Fant in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Jake Ferguson's market-based projection is 6.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Noah Fant's market-based projection is 3.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 85th highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 62nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Noah Fant, and the board ranks him 100th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 68 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Noah Fant has been on the field for 52 percent of NO snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 3 against LV he caught 4 of 4 targets for 33 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Noah Fant played 15 games and scored 74.8 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing TE37.

He caught 34 of 41 targets for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 2.7 targets a game, a 83 percent catch rate and 9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Noah Fant 5.0, 6.1 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 that year and Noah Fant TE37.

Jake Ferguson had 61 more targets than Noah Fant, 102 to 41.

Jake Ferguson had 312 more receiving yards than Noah Fant, 600 to 288.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger snap share, 68 percent against 52 percent.

This season Jake Ferguson holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14. No bye is listed for Noah Fant.

What would change the answer

2.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.