Start Jake Ferguson or Noah Fant? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 7:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Jake Ferguson over Noah Fant

Start

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 6.4; fantasy pts
PHI D vs TE: 11.7; 13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 57 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Sit

Noah Fant

TE · NO · vs PIT

Market projects: 3.5; fantasy pts
PIT D vs TE: 11.7; 14th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 27 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 52%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Noah Fant for Jake Ferguson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games), Noah Fant 35 (3.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jake Ferguson over Noah Fant, 6.4 to 3.6 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jake Ferguson over Noah Fant in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jake Ferguson at 6.4 points and Noah Fant at 3.5, a gap of 2.8.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 20 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (8, 8 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.6 fantasy points for Noah Fant, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Noah Fant is 12 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (12, 11 and 13 market sources).

That puts Jake Ferguson 2.8 points ahead of Noah Fant on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 11.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 48 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PHI.

Noah Fant and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 11.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 46 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PIT.

By points allowed to the position, Noah Fant has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Noah Fant is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson played 68 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Through Week 6, Noah Fant played 52 percent of NO snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Fant, Week 2 against BAL: 30 of 68 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Noah Fant, Week 3 against LV: 42 of 74 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 33 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Noah Fant, Week 5 against MIN: 30 of 45 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Noah Fant, Week 6 against NYG: 42 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Noah Fant played 15 games for CIN and scored 74.8 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing TE37.

He caught 34 of 41 targets for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 114 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Noah Fant for Jake Ferguson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games), Noah Fant 35 (3.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jake Ferguson over Noah Fant, 6.4 to 3.6 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Noah Fant?
No. Keep Jake Ferguson: he projects 78 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 10 games), Noah Fant 35 (3.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jake Ferguson over Noah Fant, 6.4 to 3.6 projected PPR points.