Skip to main content

Should I start Josh Downs or Jalen Nailor in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 9:46 AM ET.

Start Josh Downs: 83 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jalen Nailor's 46 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 47 (4.7 a game over 10 games).

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Advertisement

Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR75 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
12.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
178

WR76 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Market-based projection
5.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
179

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

The gap

  • Board size304 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 178th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen Nailor, and the board ranks him 179th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 10 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Downs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 51 percent of LV snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 12.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against NO he caught 1 of 3 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against KC he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 1 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Josh Downs scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Jalen Nailor 5.9, 2.6 a game between them.

Josh Downs finished WR44 that year and Jalen Nailor WR61.

Josh Downs had 35 more targets than Jalen Nailor, 88 to 53.

Josh Downs had 122 more receiving yards than Jalen Nailor, 566 to 444.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 51 percent.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 47 (4.7 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Jalen Nailor?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Jalen Nailor 47 (4.7 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

Next duels