Should I start Nico Collins or Jaylen Waddle in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Nico Collins's market-based projection is 15.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 46th highest figure of the 201 players with a market-based projection.

Jaylen Waddle's market-based projection is 13.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 54th highest figure of the 201 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nico Collins, and the board ranks him 32nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylen Waddle, and the board ranks him 39th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 15; 2QB: ADP 36.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Nico Collins has been on the field for 71 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have averaged 12.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against JAX he carried 1 time for 5 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 74 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Jaylen Waddle has been on the field for 68 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 38 targets have averaged 9.2 air yards.

In Week 4 against SF he caught 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against LAC he carried 1 time for 9 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against SEA he caught 4 of 7 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Nico Collins played 15 games and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 8.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 15.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylen Waddle played 16 games and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.3 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 14.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaylen Waddle was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Nico Collins scored 15.1 PPR points a game and Jaylen Waddle 12.1, 2.9 a game between them.

Nico Collins finished WR8 that year and Jaylen Waddle WR24.

Nico Collins had 20 more targets than Jaylen Waddle, 120 to 100.

Nico Collins had 207 more receiving yards than Jaylen Waddle, 1117 to 910.

This season Nico Collins holds the bigger snap share, 71 percent against 68 percent.

This season Nico Collins holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Nico Collins is off in Week 8 and Jaylen Waddle in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.