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Should I start Justin Herbert or Kyler Murray in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Kyler Murray: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray are too close to call on usage: 100 percent of the snaps and 1 percent of the targets against 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justin Herbert for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 125 (13.9 a game over 9 games). Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB21 · LAC · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 3-4

Market-based projection
16.2 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
144

QB22 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 2-4

Market-based projection
17.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
145

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Herbert, and the board ranks him 144th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 23; 2QB: ADP 12.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 145th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Justin Herbert is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justin Herbert's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Justin Herbert has been on the field for 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 255 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 48 of 255 dropbacks and scrambled 22 times.

In Week 5 against DEN he completed 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 6 times for 54 yards.

In Week 6 against KC he completed 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 26 yards.

In Week 8 against LAR he completed 24 of 31 passes for 257 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 4 times for 15 yards.

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 84 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 184 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

In Week 7 against IND he completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 41 yards.

In Week 8 against DET he completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 36 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Herbert played 16 games and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He threw for 3727 yards on 512 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 32.0 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert was available for 11 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justin Herbert scored 18.7 PPR points a game and Kyler Murray 16.2, 2.6 a game between them.

Justin Herbert finished QB10 that year and Kyler Murray QB38.

Justin Herbert had 351 more pass attempts than Kyler Murray, 512 to 161.

Justin Herbert had 2765 more passing yards than Kyler Murray, 3727 to 962.

This season Justin Herbert holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 84 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Justin Herbert is off in Week 7 and Kyler Murray in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Herbert for Kyler Murray?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 125 (13.9 a game over 9 games). Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Kyler Murray for Justin Herbert?

    No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 125 (13.9 a game over 9 games). Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

Should I drop Kyler Murray?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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