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Should I start Justin Jefferson or Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 5:26 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Justin Jefferson: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Justin Jefferson: his market-based projection is 2.8 points a game ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson's this season.

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Rhamondre Stevenson?

Not on these numbers alone. Justin Jefferson projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 11 games) and Rhamondre Stevenson 107 (10.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Justin Jefferson is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR8 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection
15.7 pts a game

RB19 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Market-based projection
12.9 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference2.8 points a game
  • Board size314 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 15.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Rhamondre Stevenson's market-based projection is 12.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 62nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 29th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rhamondre Stevenson, and the board ranks him 28th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Rhamondre Stevenson has been on the field for 63 percent of NE snaps, taken 40 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 3 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have come 0.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against BUF he carried 13 times for 47 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against LV he carried 13 times for 64 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against NYJ he carried 14 times for 36 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rhamondre Stevenson played 14 games and scored 178.8 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing RB25.

He carried 130 times for 603 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 32 of 37 targets for 345 more yards.

That came to 9.3 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 60 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Rhamondre Stevenson scored 12.8 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 0.9 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 and Rhamondre Stevenson RB25, which are two different ladders.

Justin Jefferson is a wide receiver and Rhamondre Stevenson a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6 and Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Rhamondre Stevenson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Justin Jefferson projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 11 games) and Rhamondre Stevenson 107 (10.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Justin Jefferson is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Rhamondre Stevenson for Justin Jefferson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 107 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.7 a game over 10 games) and Justin Jefferson 102 (9.3 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Justin Jefferson is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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