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Should I start Kyler Murray or Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 8:41 PM ET.

Start Kyler Murray: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Kyle Pitts Sr.'s 65 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB13 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Overall rank
91

TE13 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
8.6 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyle Pitts Sr., and the board ranks him 93rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 16.6 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kyle Pitts Sr.'s market-based projection is 8.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 93rd highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Kyler Murray's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 80 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 6.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 16 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 13 times.

In Week 3 against TB he completed 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 4 against MIA he completed 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 21 yards.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

Through Week 6, Kyle Pitts Sr. has been on the field for 59 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 2 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 6.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 5 of 6 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against CHI he caught 5 of 7 targets for 60 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr. was available for 12 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Kyler Murray scored 16.2 PPR points a game and Kyle Pitts Sr. 12.4, 3.8 a game between them.

Kyler Murray finished QB38 and Kyle Pitts Sr. TE2, which are two different ladders.

Kyler Murray is a quarterback and Kyle Pitts Sr. a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Kyler Murray is off in Week 6 and Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kyler Murray has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Kyler Murray?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Kyler Murray for Kyle Pitts Sr.?

    No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games).

Should I drop Kyler Murray?

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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