Should I start Matthew Stafford or Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Matthew Stafford's market-based projection is 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 25th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Kyle Pitts Sr.'s market-based projection is 8.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 94th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Stafford, and the board ranks him 91st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyle Pitts Sr., and the board ranks him 92nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 260 times and thrown 8.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 40 of 260 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 4 against PHI he completed 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 11 yards.

In Week 5 against BUF he completed 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 6 against ARI he completed 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 6, Kyle Pitts Sr. has been on the field for 59 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 2 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 6.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 5 of 6 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against CHI he caught 5 of 7 targets for 60 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Kyle Pitts Sr. 12.4, 8.7 a game between them.

Matthew Stafford finished QB3 and Kyle Pitts Sr. TE2, which are two different ladders.

Matthew Stafford is a quarterback and Kyle Pitts Sr. a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

7.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.