Should I start Kyler Murray or Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Kyler Murray's market-based projection is 16.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 19th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s market-based projection is 4.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 107th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 95th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Marvin Mims Jr., and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 86 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 184 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

In Week 7 against IND he completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 41 yards.

In Week 8 against DET he completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 36 yards.

Through Week 8, Marvin Mims Jr. has been on the field for 28 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 1.2 air yards.

In Week 7 against ARI he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against KC he carried 2 times for 19 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Marvin Mims Jr. played 15 games and scored 93.0 PPR points, 6.2 a game, finishing WR66.

He caught 37 of 51 targets for 322 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 8.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 35 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Marvin Mims Jr. was available for 10 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Kyler Murray scored 16.2 PPR points a game and Marvin Mims Jr. 6.2, 10.0 a game between them.

Kyler Murray finished QB38 and Marvin Mims Jr. WR66, which are two different ladders.

Kyler Murray is a quarterback and Marvin Mims Jr. a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Kyler Murray is off in Week 6 and Marvin Mims Jr. in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

12.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.