Should I start Ollie Gordon II or Rico Dowdle in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Ollie Gordon II's market-based projection is 9.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 86th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 7.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ollie Gordon II, and the board ranks him 47th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 67th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has been on the field for 48 percent of MIA snaps, taken 36 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 5 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 3.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against KC he carried 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against MIN he carried 9 times for 100 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CIN he carried 18 times for 88 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 36 percent of PIT snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 17 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against ATL he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against NE he carried 7 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ollie Gordon II played 17 games and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He carried 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 more yards.

That came to 4.1 carries a game at 2.8 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Ollie Gordon II 3.2, 9.5 a game between them.

Ollie Gordon II finished RB68 that year and Rico Dowdle RB18.

Rico Dowdle had 166 more carries than Ollie Gordon II, 236 to 70.

Rico Dowdle had 32 more catches than Ollie Gordon II, 39 to 7.

This season Ollie Gordon II holds the bigger snap share, 48 percent against 36 percent.

This season Ollie Gordon II holds the bigger share of the carries, 36 percent against 35 percent.

Byes and availability

Ollie Gordon II is off in Week 6 and Rico Dowdle in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

2.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.