Start Ollie Gordon II or Rico Dowdle? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Latest

Oct 21, 5:43 PM ET: Rico Dowdle: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Ollie Gordon II over Rico Dowdle

Start

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Sit

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at NO · Questionable

Market projects: 7.7; fantasy pts
NO D vs RB: 29.7; most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 62 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Rico Dowdle, 9.7 to 7.7 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ollie Gordon II over Rico Dowdle in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ollie Gordon II at 9.7 points and Rico Dowdle at 7.7, a gap of 2.0.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.7 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 32 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 13, 12 and 13 market sources).

That puts Ollie Gordon II 2.0 points ahead of Rico Dowdle on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 29.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 31 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Rico Dowdle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable with a knee injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle played 36 percent of PIT snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Rico Dowdle, 9.7 to 7.7 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Rico Dowdle?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Rico Dowdle, 9.7 to 7.7 projected PPR points. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.