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Should I start Tyler Allgeier or Patrick Mahomes in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 1:16 PM ET.

Start Patrick Mahomes: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tyler Allgeier's 49 percent of the snaps and 38 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 174 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB36 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 3-4

Market-based projection
9.1 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
138

QB20 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
16.3 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
139

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The gap

  • Board size293 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 138th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 139th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 1.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 50 percent of ARI snaps, taken 34 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 76 third down targets, had 2 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 45 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 2.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against DET he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DEN he carried 8 times for 19 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 210 times and thrown 6.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 31 of 210 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 14.0 a game between them.

Tyler Allgeier finished RB39 and Patrick Mahomes QB11, which are two different ladders.

Tyler Allgeier is a running back and Patrick Mahomes a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tyler Allgeier is off in Week 14 and Patrick Mahomes in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Patrick Mahomes?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 174 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games).

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Tyler Allgeier?

    No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 174 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games).

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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