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Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Joe Burrow in Week 8?

Updated Oct 27, 1:26 PM ET.

Week 8 verdict

Start

QB · CIN · vs TEN

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB
16.1
11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
72 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 7
Sit

QB · KC · at DEN

Market projects
16.6
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs QB
16.1
12th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
28 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7
Start Burrow or Mahomes? The full Week 8 breakdown

Start Joe Burrow over Patrick Mahomes in Week 8: 17.4 to 16.6 PPR points a game over recent weeks.

Should I drop Joe Burrow for Patrick Mahomes?

Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Patrick Mahomes 174 (17.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Patrick Mahomes.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

QB20 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
16.3 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
139

QB21 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
17.2 pts a game Wk 7 price
Overall rank
147

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The gap

  • Board size293 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 139th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Joe Burrow, and the board ranks him 147th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 1.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Patrick Mahomes's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 210 times and thrown 6.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 31 of 210 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

In Week 7 against SEA he completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 14 yards.

Through Week 7, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 236 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 42 of 236 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 4 against JAX he completed 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 6 yards.

In Week 5 against MIA he completed 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 7 against BAL he completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Patrick Mahomes was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Joe Burrow 17.4, 3.8 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 that year and Joe Burrow QB29.

Patrick Mahomes had 243 more pass attempts than Joe Burrow, 502 to 259.

Patrick Mahomes had 1778 more passing yards than Joe Burrow, 3587 to 1809.

This season Patrick Mahomes holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 99 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Joe Burrow in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Patrick Mahomes?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Patrick Mahomes 174 (17.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Patrick Mahomes.

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 174 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 10 games) and Joe Burrow 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Joe Burrow over Patrick Mahomes.

Both players in full

Week 8 on the board

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