Should I start Ray Davis or Seth McGowan in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Week 10 verdict
Start Seth McGowan over Ray Davis
- Market projects
- 5.2
- recent weeks avg
- MIA D vs RB
- 25.0
- 8th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 22%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 2%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 1.4
- recent weeks avg
- NYJ D vs RB
- 21.8
- 14th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 13%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 2%
- Through Week 9
Start Seth McGowan: 30 percent of the snaps and 28 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Ray Davis's 17 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
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Your next move
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
RB55 · BUF · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 0-8
- Market-based projection
- 1.3 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 208
RB · IND · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 1-8
- Overall rank
- not on the board
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The gap
- Board size307 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Ray Davis, and the board ranks him 208th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Our board does not carry Seth McGowan at all right now: live drafts have stopped taking him and there is no player market on him this week, so he has no rank, no tier and no ADP here.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Ray Davis is 0.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
No season market is posted for Seth McGowan, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Ray Davis has been on the field for 13 percent of BUF snaps, taken 5 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 0 of the offence's 58 third down targets, had 0 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 32 two minute targets.
His 4 targets have come 3.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 6 against LV he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against BAL he carried 6 times for 30 yards and did not score.
In Week 9 against MIN he carried 2 times for 2 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.
Through Week 9, Seth McGowan has been on the field for 22 percent of IND snaps, taken 18 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 2 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 1 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 44 two minute targets.
His 6 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 7 against MIN he carried 11 times for 46 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against JAX he carried 5 times for 29 yards and did not score.
In Week 9 against DAL he carried 6 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for -3 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Ray Davis played 17 games and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.
He carried 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 more yards.
That came to 3.4 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 0.6 catches a game.
He was on the field for 11 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Seth McGowan is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.
Head to head
This season Seth McGowan holds the bigger snap share, 22 percent against 13 percent.
This season Seth McGowan holds the bigger share of the carries, 18 percent against 5 percent.
Byes and availability
Ray Davis is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Seth McGowan.
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Ray Davis playing Week 10?
- Is Seth McGowan playing Week 10?
- Bills depth chart
- Colts depth chart
- Week 10 RB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings
