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Start Keaton Mitchell or Ray Davis? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:31 PM ET.

Start

RB · LAC · at BAL

Market projects
4.4
recent weeks avg
BAL D vs RB
19.9
11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
20 of 100 at RB
Snap share
31%
Through Week 9
Target share
9%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
1.4
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs RB
21.8
14th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
2%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Ray Davis for Keaton Mitchell?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Keaton Mitchell projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.5 a game over 8 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Keaton Mitchell over Ray Davis.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Keaton Mitchell over Ray Davis in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Keaton Mitchell at 4.4 points and Ray Davis at 1.4, a gap of 3.0. No player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell this week yet, so his 4.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (4.6 and 4.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ray Davis this week yet, so his 1.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (1.5 and 1.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 4.6 and 4.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 4.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ray Davis yet. His market-based projections were 1.5 and 1.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 1.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Keaton Mitchell 3.0 points ahead of Ray Davis on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Keaton Mitchell and LAC visit BAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 9 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and a touchdown a game against BAL and caught passes for 17 more yards.

Ray Davis and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ray Davis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Ray Davis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Keaton Mitchell played 31 percent of LAC snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 8 against LAR: 19 of 61 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 9 against HOU: 18 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 33 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards.

Through Week 9, Ray Davis played 13 percent of BUF snaps, took 5 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Ray Davis, Week 5 against LAR: 10 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 6 against LV: 9 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 8 against BAL: 17 of 82 snaps, 6 carries for 30 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 9 against MIN: 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ray Davis played 17 games for BUF and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.

He ran 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ray Davis for Keaton Mitchell?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Keaton Mitchell projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.5 a game over 8 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Keaton Mitchell over Ray Davis.

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Ray Davis?

    No. Keep Keaton Mitchell: he projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.5 a game over 8 games), Ray Davis 8 (1.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Keaton Mitchell over Ray Davis.

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board