Start Ray Davis or Seth McGowan? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Seth McGowan over Ray Davis

- Market projects
- 5.2
- recent weeks avg
- MIA D vs RB
- 25.0
- 8th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 22%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 2%
- Through Week 9

- Market projects
- 1.4
- recent weeks avg
- NYJ D vs RB
- 21.8
- 14th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 13%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 2%
- Through Week 9
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Our Week 10 call
Start Seth McGowan over Ray Davis in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Seth McGowan at 5.2 points and Ray Davis at 1.4, a gap of 3.8. No player market is posted for Seth McGowan this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (2.7, 6.0 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ray Davis this week yet, so his 1.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (1.5 and 1.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Seth McGowan yet. His market-based projections were 2.7, 6.0 and 7.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
No Week 10 player market is posted for Ray Davis yet. His market-based projections were 1.5 and 1.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 1.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Seth McGowan 3.8 points ahead of Ray Davis on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Seth McGowan and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
MIA allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 41 more yards.
Ray Davis and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Seth McGowan has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.
Ray Davis is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Seth McGowan played 22 percent of IND snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.
Seth McGowan, Week 6 against TEN: 19 of 83 snaps, 4 carries for 27 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Seth McGowan, Week 7 against MIN: 20 of 58 snaps, 11 carries for 46 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.
Seth McGowan, Week 8 against JAX: 15 of 61 snaps, 5 carries for 29 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Seth McGowan, Week 9 against DAL: 20 of 64 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -3 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 9, Ray Davis played 13 percent of BUF snaps, took 5 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Ray Davis, Week 5 against LAR: 10 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards.
Ray Davis, Week 6 against LV: 9 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.
Ray Davis, Week 8 against BAL: 17 of 82 snaps, 6 carries for 30 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Ray Davis, Week 9 against MIN: 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ray Davis played 17 games for BUF and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.
He ran 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 yards.
He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Week 10 on the board
- Is Ray Davis playing Week 10?
- Is Seth McGowan playing Week 10?
- Bills depth chart
- Colts depth chart
- Week 10 RB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings