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Start Ray Davis or Seth McGowan? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start

RB · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
5.2
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB
25.0
8th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at RB
Snap share
22%
Through Week 9
Target share
2%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
1.4
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs RB
21.8
14th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
2%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Seth McGowan over Ray Davis in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Seth McGowan at 5.2 points and Ray Davis at 1.4, a gap of 3.8. No player market is posted for Seth McGowan this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (2.7, 6.0 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ray Davis this week yet, so his 1.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (1.5 and 1.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Seth McGowan yet. His market-based projections were 2.7, 6.0 and 7.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ray Davis yet. His market-based projections were 1.5 and 1.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 1.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Seth McGowan 3.8 points ahead of Ray Davis on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Seth McGowan and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 41 more yards.

Ray Davis and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Seth McGowan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.

Ray Davis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Seth McGowan played 22 percent of IND snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Seth McGowan, Week 6 against TEN: 19 of 83 snaps, 4 carries for 27 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 7 against MIN: 20 of 58 snaps, 11 carries for 46 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 8 against JAX: 15 of 61 snaps, 5 carries for 29 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 9 against DAL: 20 of 64 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -3 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Ray Davis played 13 percent of BUF snaps, took 5 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Ray Davis, Week 5 against LAR: 10 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 6 against LV: 9 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 8 against BAL: 17 of 82 snaps, 6 carries for 30 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ray Davis, Week 9 against MIN: 2 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ray Davis played 17 games for BUF and scored 64.1 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB61.

He ran 58 times for 275 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 13 targets for 86 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board