Trevor Lawrence or Sam Darnold: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Trevor Lawrence at 17.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

The player markets price Sam Darnold at 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 40th highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 12.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Sam Darnold: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 27.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and thrown 8.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 113 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 2 against DEN he completed 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 3 against NE he completed 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 25 yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 4, Sam Darnold has been on the field for 75 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 75 times and thrown 6.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 14 of 75 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against NE he completed 1 of 2 passes for 13 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In Week 3 against WAS he completed 31 of 45 passes for 379 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 1 time for 5 yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he completed 13 of 22 passes for 168 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Sam Darnold played 17 games and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He threw for 4048 yards on 477 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 28.1 attempts a game at 8.5 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Sam Darnold 14.7, 5.9 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and Sam Darnold QB13.

Trevor Lawrence had 83 more pass attempts than Sam Darnold, 560 to 477.

Sam Darnold had 41 more passing yards than Trevor Lawrence, 4048 to 4007.

This season Trevor Lawrence holds the bigger snap share, 96 percent against 75 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and Sam Darnold in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.