Aaron Nola fantasy outlook 2027
Aaron Nola ranks 578th overall in our 2027 fantasy baseball rankings, 169th among starting pitchers, and 216th in points leagues. The 2027 projection is 8 W, 4.71 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 155 K in 157 IP. In 2026 he posted a 4.67 ERA and 177 strikeouts over 175.33 innings in 33 starts. At 34 next season the projection takes off a little for age.
Overall (5x5)
#578
of 1184
Starting pitcher
#169
of 261
Points leagues
#216
246 proj. pts
Dynasty
#578
Keeper value
Round 49
12-team draft
Pitching: projection and recent seasons
| Season | G | GS | IP | W | SV | HLD | K | K% | BB% | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 projection | 29 | 29 | 157.0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 23.0% | 7.5% | 4.71 | 1.33 |
| 2026 | 33 | 33 | 175.1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 23.8% | 7.9% | 4.67 | 1.35 |
| 2025 | 17 | 17 | 94.1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 24.0% | 6.9% | 6.01 | 1.35 |
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2026 splits
What hitters did against him, by the hand they bat with and where he pitched.
| Split | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs left-handed hitters | 458 | .251 | .332 | .464 | 22 | 101 |
| vs right-handed hitters | 286 | .278 | .303 | .509 | 15 | 76 |
| Home | 356 | .287 | .332 | .543 | 20 | 88 |
| Away | 388 | .239 | .310 | .425 | 17 | 89 |
2026 Statcast and advanced numbers
xBA against
.242
xSLG against
.419
xwOBA against
.314
FIP
4.87
ERA
4.67
175.33 IP
WAR
1.3
Expected stats come from Statcast as MLB's Stats API publishes them: what the quality of contact was worth, before defense and luck.
Ranked around Aaron Nola
- #575Dominic SmithDHATL
- #576Cooper CriswellRPSEA
- #577Zebby MatthewsSPMIN
- #579Kody FunderburkRPMIN
- #580Edward CabreraSPCHC
- #581Tyler AlexanderSPTEX
Best fantasy teammates
Philadelphia Phillies depth chart- #8Kyle SchwarberDHPHI
- #22Zack WheelerSPPHI
- #25Cristopher SánchezSPPHI
- #28Bryce Harper1BPHI
- #48Jesús LuzardoSPPHI
- #53Trea TurnerSSPHI
Common questions
Where should I draft Aaron Nola in 2027?
Aaron Nola is 578th on our 2027 board for 5x5 roto leagues, about round 49 in a 12-team draft, and 216th in standard points leagues.
Is Aaron Nola a keeper for 2027?
He is worth a round 49 pick in a 12-team league, so he is a value to keep at any cost later than that round.
What positions is Aaron Nola eligible at?
By 2026 games (20 at a position, or 5 starts or 8 relief outings for pitchers) he qualifies at SP. Leagues set their own thresholds.
What team does Aaron Nola play for?
Aaron Nola is listed with the Philadelphia Phillies, 4th in the rotation on the depth chart.
More: 2027 starting pitcher rankings, dynasty rankings and keeper values. He is the 578th pick on our board.
By the Parlae deskPlayer data updated Oct 14, 2026 at 7:53 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number