2027 fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings
Shohei Ohtani is the top starting pitcher for 2027, ahead of Jacob Misiorowski and Cam Schlittler, projected for 35 HR, 97 R, 82 RBI, 21 SB, .279 AVG. The list ranks 120 starting pitchers by 5x5 value over a replacement-level starter, from a projection of the last three MLB seasons.
| Rank | Player | Age | 2027 projection | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani DHLADDH/SP | 32 | 35 HR, 97 R, 82 RBI, 21 SB, .279 AVG | +13.3 |
| 2 | Jacob Misiorowski SPMIL | 25 | 14 W, 2.57 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 211 K | +11.3 |
| 3 | Cam Schlittler SPNYY | 26 | 11 W, 2.42 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 196 K | +9.9 |
| 4 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto SPLAD | 28 | 13 W, 2.73 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 179 K | +9.7 |
| 5 | Tarik Skubal SPLAD | 30 | 12 W, 2.67 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 185 K | +9.5 |
| 6 | Chris Sale SPATL | 38 | 12 W, 2.62 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 183 K | +8.3 |
| 7 | Drew Rasmussen SPTB | 31 | 13 W, 2.92 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 153 K | +8.0 |
| 8 | Paul Skenes SPPIT | 25 | 10 W, 2.98 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 194 K | +7.4 |
| 9 | Zack Wheeler SPPHI | 37 | 12 W, 3.06 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 180 K | +7.3 |
| 10 | Cristopher Sánchez SPPHI | 30 | 14 W, 2.98 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 191 K | +7.1 |
| 11 | Parker Messick SPCLE | 26 | 10 W, 2.80 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 162 K | +6.2 |
| 12 | Bryan Woo SPSEA | 27 | 12 W, 3.52 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 167 K | +6.2 |
| 13 | Logan Henderson SPMIL | 25 | 10 W, 2.80 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 125 K | +5.7 |
| 14 | Jesús Luzardo SPPHI | 29 | 13 W, 3.49 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 195 K | +5.6 |
| 15 | Nolan McLean SPNYM | 25 | 11 W, 3.12 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 169 K | +5.4 |
| 16 | Chase Burns SPCIN | 24 | 12 W, 3.23 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 174 K | +5.0 |
| 17 | Logan Gilbert SPSEA | 30 | 9 W, 3.63 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 186 K | +4.8 |
| 18 | Gavin Williams SPCLE | 27 | 12 W, 3.63 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 202 K | +4.7 |
| 19 | Dylan Cease SPTOR | 31 | 10 W, 3.41 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 206 K | +4.6 |
| 20 | Braxton Ashcraft SPPIT | 27 | 13 W, 3.52 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 155 K | +4.6 |
| 21 | Sonny Gray SPBOS | 37 | 14 W, 3.61 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 160 K | +4.1 |
| 22 | Max Fried SPNYY | 33 | 10 W, 3.11 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 127 K | +3.9 |
| 23 | Shota Imanaga SPCHC | 33 | 11 W, 3.72 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 151 K | +3.9 |
| 24 | Jacob deGrom SPTEX | 39 | 11 W, 3.85 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 175 K | +3.9 |
| 25 | Cade Cavalli SPWSH | 28 | 11 W, 3.37 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 164 K | +3.7 |
| 26 | Carlos Rodón SPNYY | 34 | 11 W, 3.34 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 126 K | +3.5 |
| 27 | Nathan Eovaldi SPTEX | 37 | 11 W, 3.57 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 139 K | +3.5 |
| 28 | Michael King SPSD | 32 | 11 W, 3.35 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 150 K | +3.3 |
| 29 | Hunter Brown SPHOU | 28 | 8 W, 3.07 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 146 K | +3.3 |
| 30 | Payton Tolle SPBOS | 24 | 8 W, 3.34 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 155 K | +3.2 |
| 31 | Troy Melton SPDET | 26 | 9 W, 3.03 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 105 K | +3.1 |
| 32 | Joe Ryan SPMIN | 31 | 9 W, 3.72 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 162 K | +3.1 |
| 33 | Griffin Jax SPTBSP/RP | 32 | 11 W, 3.66 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 138 K | +3.0 |
| 34 | Reid Detmers SPLAA | 27 | 9 W, 3.84 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 183 K | +2.9 |
| 35 | Nick Martinez SPTB | 36 | 13 W, 3.69 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 114 K | +2.9 |
| 36 | Freddy Peralta SPTB | 31 | 12 W, 3.78 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 166 K | +2.6 |
| 37 | Ranger Suarez SPBOS | 31 | 10 W, 3.39 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 142 K | +2.6 |
| 38 | Walbert Ureña SPLAA | 23 | 8 W, 3.13 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 133 K | +2.6 |
| 39 | Foster Griffin SPCLE | 31 | 13 W, 3.73 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 134 K | +2.4 |
| 40 | Eury Pérez SPMIA | 24 | 8 W, 3.91 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 162 K | +2.1 |
| 41 | Trevor Rogers SPBAL | 29 | 9 W, 3.67 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 142 K | +2.0 |
| 42 | Michael Wacha SPKC | 36 | 10 W, 3.64 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 139 K | +2.0 |
| 43 | Shane McClanahan SPTB | 30 | 10 W, 3.59 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 108 K | +1.9 |
| 44 | Garrett Crochet SPBOS | 28 | 8 W, 3.45 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 118 K | +1.9 |
| 45 | Matthew Boyd SPCHC | 36 | 11 W, 3.69 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 117 K | +1.9 |
| 46 | Tyler Glasnow SPLAD | 33 | 6 W, 3.60 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 125 K | +1.8 |
| 47 | Noah Cameron SPKC | 27 | 9 W, 3.74 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 145 K | +1.8 |
| 48 | Justin Wrobleski SPLAD | 26 | 11 W, 3.91 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 127 K | +1.8 |
| 49 | Kyle Leahy SPSTL | 30 | 13 W, 3.65 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 127 K | +1.8 |
| 50 | Gerrit Cole SPNYY | 36 | 10 W, 3.78 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 123 K | +1.8 |
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| Rank | Player | Age | 2027 projection | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | Logan Webb SPSF | 30 | 10 W, 3.80 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 149 K | +1.6 |
| 52 | Sean Burke SPCWS | 27 | 9 W, 3.63 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 167 K | +1.6 |
| 53 | Brandon Woodruff SPMIL | 34 | 7 W, 3.50 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 95 K | +1.5 |
| 54 | Jake Bennett SPBOS | 26 | 9 W, 3.73 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 100 K | +1.4 |
| 55 | Nick Pivetta SPSD | 34 | 6 W, 3.40 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 102 K | +1.4 |
| 56 | Blake Snell SPLAD | 34 | 7 W, 2.93 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 102 K | +1.3 |
| 57 | Connelly Early SPWSH | 25 | 8 W, 3.40 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 114 K | +1.3 |
| 58 | Joey Cantillo SPCLE | 27 | 10 W, 3.63 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 161 K | +1.3 |
| 59 | Taj Bradley SPMIN | 26 | 10 W, 4.10 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 175 K | +1.2 |
| 60 | Robbie Ray SPSD | 35 | 12 W, 3.78 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 148 K | +1.1 |
| 61 | Keider Montero SPDET | 26 | 9 W, 3.84 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 114 K | +1.1 |
| 62 | Emmet Sheehan SPLAD | 27 | 7 W, 4.02 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 142 K | +1.1 |
| 63 | Max Meyer SPMIA | 28 | 8 W, 3.63 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 126 K | +1.0 |
| 64 | Kris Bubic SPLAD | 29 | 7 W, 3.30 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 100 K | +0.9 |
| 65 | Framber Valdez SPDET | 33 | 11 W, 3.81 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 145 K | +0.9 |
| 66 | Cade Horton SPCHC | 25 | 7 W, 3.09 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 65 K | +0.8 |
| 67 | Jared Jones SPPIT | 25 | 5 W, 3.82 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 127 K | +0.7 |
| 68 | Michael Soroka SPAZ | 29 | 7 W, 3.96 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 127 K | +0.7 |
| 69 | Kevin Gausman SPCHC | 36 | 9 W, 4.17 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 162 K | +0.6 |
| 70 | Ian Seymour SPTBSP/RP | 28 | 6 W, 4.07 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 110 K | +0.6 |
| 71 | Tyler Mahle SPATL | 32 | 7 W, 3.66 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 126 K | +0.5 |
| 72 | Hunter Greene SPCIN | 27 | 5 W, 3.62 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 97 K | +0.5 |
| 73 | Trey Yesavage SPTOR | 23 | 6 W, 3.66 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 113 K | +0.5 |
| 74 | José Soriano SPTOR | 28 | 10 W, 3.97 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 154 K | +0.4 |
| 75 | Tanner Bibee SPCLE | 28 | 9 W, 4.15 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 152 K | +0.4 |
| 76 | Spencer Miles SPTORSP/RP | 26 | 5 W, 3.13 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 72 K | +0.4 |
| 77 | Clay Holmes SPCHC | 34 | 9 W, 3.57 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 103 K | +0.3 |
| 78 | 34 | 13 W, 3.83 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 140 K | +0.3 | |
| 79 | Tyler Phillips SPMIASP/RP | 29 | 7 W, 3.55 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 104 K | +0.1 |
| 80 | Ryan Weathers SPNYY | 27 | 6 W, 3.71 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 134 K | +0.1 |
| 81 | Mason Montgomery SPPITSP/RP | 27 | 9 SV, 3.78 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 86 K | +0.1 |
| 82 | George Kirby SPSEA | 29 | 10 W, 4.14 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 149 K | +0.1 |
| 83 | Kyle Harrison SPMIL | 25 | 9 W, 4.14 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 137 K | -0.0 |
| 84 | Hayden Wesneski SPHOU | 29 | 8 W, 3.79 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 81 K | -0.0 |
| 85 | Zac Thornton SPNYM | 25 | 6 W, 3.59 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 86 K | -0.1 |
| 86 | Chad Patrick SPMILSP/RP | 28 | 5 W, 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 86 K | -0.2 |
| 87 | Grant Holmes SPATL | 31 | 8 W, 3.72 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 130 K | -0.2 |
| 88 | Braydon Fisher SPTORSP/RP | 26 | 5 W, 3.32 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 71 K | -0.2 |
| 89 | Brandon Pfaadt SPAZSP/RP | 28 | 9 W, 4.43 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 121 K | -0.4 |
| 90 | Michael McGreevy SPSTL | 26 | 9 W, 3.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 111 K | -0.4 |
| 91 | Landen Roupp SPSF | 28 | 9 W, 3.93 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 140 K | -0.5 |
| 92 | Sandy Alcantara SPMIA | 31 | 11 W, 4.39 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 142 K | -0.6 |
| 93 | J.T. Ginn SPATH | 28 | 8 W, 4.11 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 131 K | -0.6 |
| 94 | Emerson Hancock SPSEA | 28 | 7 W, 4.04 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 118 K | -0.6 |
| 95 | Robert Gasser SPMIL | 28 | 5 W, 3.83 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 107 K | -0.7 |
| 96 | Lake Bachar SPPITSP/RP | 32 | 4 W, 3.78 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 78 K | -0.8 |
| 97 | Andrew Alvarez SPWSHSP/RP | 28 | 2 W, 3.50 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 117 K | -0.8 |
| 98 | Shane Drohan SPMILSP/RP | 28 | 7 W, 4.15 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 122 K | -0.8 |
| 99 | Andrew Abbott SPCIN | 28 | 8 W, 3.89 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 136 K | -0.8 |
| 100 | Shane Bieber SPTOR | 32 | 9 W, 4.03 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 82 K | -0.8 |
| 101 | Bryce Miller SPSEA | 28 | 6 W, 4.20 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 122 K | -0.8 |
| 102 | Casey Mize SPSD | 30 | 9 W, 4.18 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 123 K | -0.9 |
| 103 | Eric Lauer SPLAD | 32 | 10 W, 4.41 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 101 K | -0.9 |
| 104 | Bubba Chandler SPPIT | 24 | 9 W, 4.26 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 133 K | -0.9 |
| 105 | Peter Lambert SPHOU | 30 | 7 W, 4.07 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 132 K | -1.0 |
| 106 | Dean Kremer SPMIN | 31 | 7 W, 4.35 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 110 K | -1.0 |
| 107 | Will Warren SPNYY | 28 | 10 W, 4.26 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 159 K | -1.0 |
| 108 | Martín Pérez SPATL | 36 | 7 W, 3.62 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 104 K | -1.0 |
| 109 | Randy Vásquez SPSDSP/RP | 28 | 8 W, 4.00 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 95 K | -1.0 |
| 110 | Jackson Jobe SPDET | 24 | 6 W, 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 87 K | -1.0 |
| 111 | Carmen Mlodzinski SPPITSP/RP | 28 | 6 W, 3.82 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 83 K | -1.1 |
| 112 | Huascar Brazobán SPCWSSP/RP | 37 | 5 W, 3.59 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 57 K | -1.1 |
| 113 | Bryan Hudson SPCWSSP/RP | 30 | 4 W, 3.66 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 57 K | -1.1 |
| 114 | Colin Rea SPCHCSP/RP | 37 | 9 W, 4.29 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 112 K | -1.1 |
| 115 | Brayan Bello SPBOSSP/RP | 28 | 6 W, 3.98 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 83 K | -1.2 |
| 116 | Ben Brown SPCHCSP/RP | 27 | 4 W, 3.90 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 73 K | -1.2 |
| 117 | Daniel Lynch IV SPKCSP/RP | 30 | 5 W, 3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 55 K | -1.2 |
| 118 | Jack Flaherty SPDET | 31 | 6 W, 4.27 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 136 K | -1.2 |
| 119 | Javier Assad SPCHCSP/RP | 29 | 5 W, 3.76 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 58 K | -1.3 |
| 120 | Ryne Nelson SPAZ | 29 | 5 W, 4.14 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 100 K | -1.3 |
How these rankings are built
Each player's 2027 line is a Marcel style projection, the public method by Tom Tango: the last three MLB seasons weighted 5, 4 and 3 for hitters and 3, 2 and 1 for pitchers, pulled toward the league average by 1,200 plate appearances or 134 innings, then adjusted for age. Playing time is half of last season plus a tenth of the one before, plus a floor. Value is the sum of z-scores in 5x5 roto categories (R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG; W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP) against a 12-team league's drafted pool, measured over a replacement-level starter at the player's best position. Positions use 2026 games: 20 at a spot, or 5 starts or 8 relief outings for pitchers. Saves follow the role a pitcher ended2026 in on his club's depth chart. Every number comes from MLB's own Stats API.
By the Parlae deskRankings updated Oct 14, 2026 at 7:53 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number