Casey Mize fantasy outlook 2027
Casey Mize ranks 325th overall in our 2027 fantasy baseball rankings, 102nd among starting pitchers, and 250th in points leagues. The 2027 projection is 9 W, 4.18 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 123 K in 141 IP. In 2026 he posted a 4.32 ERA and 110 strikeouts over 131.33 innings in 26 starts. He plays next season at 30.
Overall (5x5)
#325
of 1184
Starting pitcher
#102
of 261
Points leagues
#250
234 proj. pts
Dynasty
#325
Keeper value
Round 28
12-team draft
Pitching: projection and recent seasons
| Season | G | GS | IP | W | SV | HLD | K | K% | BB% | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 projection | 28 | 27 | 140.2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 123 | 20.6% | 6.7% | 4.18 | 1.28 |
| 2026 | 26 | 26 | 131.1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 20.0% | 6.9% | 4.32 | 1.23 |
| 2025 | 28 | 28 | 149.0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 22.2% | 5.7% | 3.87 | 1.27 |
Advertisement
2026 splits
What hitters did against him, by the hand they bat with and where he pitched.
| Split | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs left-handed hitters | 309 | .222 | .273 | .356 | 6 | 64 |
| vs right-handed hitters | 240 | .280 | .336 | .542 | 12 | 46 |
| Home | 273 | .235 | .288 | .429 | 10 | 56 |
| Away | 276 | .259 | .313 | .442 | 8 | 54 |
2026 Statcast and advanced numbers
xBA against
.238
xSLG against
.395
xwOBA against
.303
FIP
4.14
ERA
4.32
131.33 IP
WAR
2.3
Expected stats come from Statcast as MLB's Stats API publishes them: what the quality of contact was worth, before defense and luck.
Ranked around Casey Mize
- #322Seranthony DomínguezRPSEA
- #323Paul BlackburnRPNYY
- #324DL HallRPMIL
- #326Dylan CrewsOFWSH
- #327Corey SeagerSSTEX
- #328Orion KerkeringRPPHI
Best fantasy teammates
San Diego Padres depth chart- #4
- #19Jackson MerrillOFSD
- #51Mason MillerRPSD
- #68Manny Machado3BSD
- #105Michael KingSPSD
- #131Adrian MorejonRPSD
Common questions
Where should I draft Casey Mize in 2027?
Casey Mize is 325th on our 2027 board for 5x5 roto leagues, about round 28 in a 12-team draft, and 250th in standard points leagues.
Is Casey Mize a keeper for 2027?
He is worth a round 28 pick in a 12-team league, so he is a value to keep at any cost later than that round.
What positions is Casey Mize eligible at?
By 2026 games (20 at a position, or 5 starts or 8 relief outings for pitchers) he qualifies at SP. Leagues set their own thresholds.
What team does Casey Mize play for?
Casey Mize is listed with the San Diego Padres, 5th in the rotation on the depth chart.
More: 2027 starting pitcher rankings, dynasty rankings and keeper values. He is the 325th pick on our board.
By the Parlae deskPlayer data updated Oct 14, 2026 at 7:53 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number