Connelly Early fantasy outlook 2027
Connelly Early ranks 182nd overall in our 2027 fantasy baseball rankings, 57th among starting pitchers, and 256th in points leagues. The 2027 projection is 8 W, 3.40 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 114 K in 109 IP. In 2026 he posted a 3.33 ERA and 94 strikeouts over 94.67 innings in 18 starts. His 4.54 FIP says his 3.33 ERA was kinder than his pitching. At 25 next season he is still on the rising side of the aging curve.
Overall (5x5)
#182
of 1184
Starting pitcher
#57
of 261
Points leagues
#256
231 proj. pts
Dynasty
#183
Keeper value
Round 16
12-team draft
Pitching: projection and recent seasons
| Season | G | GS | IP | W | SV | HLD | K | K% | BB% | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 projection | 21 | 21 | 109.1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 25.4% | 8.3% | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| 2026 | 18 | 18 | 94.2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 23.5% | 8.5% | 3.33 | 1.23 |
| 2025 | 4 | 4 | 19.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 36.7% | 5.1% | 2.33 | 1.09 |
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2026 splits
What hitters did against him, by the hand they bat with and where he pitched.
| Split | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs left-handed hitters | 111 | .196 | .252 | .333 | 4 | 30 |
| vs right-handed hitters | 289 | .246 | .337 | .417 | 11 | 64 |
| Home | 215 | .251 | .327 | .414 | 7 | 50 |
| Away | 185 | .209 | .297 | .368 | 8 | 44 |
2026 Statcast and advanced numbers
xBA against
.231
xSLG against
.402
xwOBA against
.315
FIP
4.54
ERA
3.33
94.67 IP
WAR
0.8
Expected stats come from Statcast as MLB's Stats API publishes them: what the quality of contact was worth, before defense and luck.
Ranked around Connelly Early
- #179Caleb Durbin3BBOS
- #180Ryan O'Hearn1BPIT
- #181Blake SnellSPLAD
- #183Jose Altuve2BHOU
- #184Andrés MuñozRPSEA
- #185Garrett WhitlockRPBOS
Best fantasy teammates
Washington Nationals depth chart- #14James WoodOFWSH
- #26CJ AbramsSSWSH
- #47Daylen LileOFWSH
- #95Cade CavalliSPWSH
- #292Jacob YoungOFWSH
- #316Andrew AlvarezSPWSH
Common questions
Where should I draft Connelly Early in 2027?
Connelly Early is 182nd on our 2027 board for 5x5 roto leagues, about round 16 in a 12-team draft, and 256th in standard points leagues.
Is Connelly Early a keeper for 2027?
He is worth a round 16 pick in a 12-team league, so he is a value to keep at any cost later than that round.
What positions is Connelly Early eligible at?
By 2026 games (20 at a position, or 5 starts or 8 relief outings for pitchers) he qualifies at SP. Leagues set their own thresholds.
What team does Connelly Early play for?
Connelly Early is listed with the Washington Nationals, 3rd in the rotation on the depth chart.
More: 2027 starting pitcher rankings, dynasty rankings and keeper values. He is the 182nd pick on our board.
By the Parlae deskPlayer data updated Oct 14, 2026 at 7:53 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number