Troy Melton fantasy outlook 2027
Troy Melton ranks 110th overall in our 2027 fantasy baseball rankings, 31st among starting pitchers, and 197th in points leagues. The 2027 projection is 9 W, 3.03 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 105 K in 122 IP. In 2026 he posted a 2.76 ERA and 94 strikeouts over 114.33 innings in 20 starts. His 4.09 FIP says his 2.76 ERA was kinder than his pitching. At 26 next season he is still on the rising side of the aging curve.
Overall (5x5)
#110
of 1184
Starting pitcher
#31
of 261
Points leagues
#197
258 proj. pts
Dynasty
#114
Keeper value
Round 10
12-team draft
Pitching: projection and recent seasons
| Season | G | GS | IP | W | SV | HLD | K | K% | BB% | ERA | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 projection | 26 | 21 | 121.2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 3.03 | 1.13 |
| 2026 | 20 | 20 | 114.1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 20.0% | 7.9% | 2.76 | 1.13 |
| 2025 | 16 | 4 | 45.2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 2.76 | 1.01 |
Advertisement
2026 splits
What hitters did against him, by the hand they bat with and where he pitched.
| Split | PA | AVG | OBP | SLG | HR | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs left-handed hitters | 279 | .229 | .313 | .437 | 11 | 51 |
| vs right-handed hitters | 191 | .202 | .257 | .287 | 2 | 43 |
| Home | 212 | .233 | .294 | .415 | 8 | 46 |
| Away | 258 | .204 | .287 | .339 | 5 | 48 |
2026 Statcast and advanced numbers
xBA against
.239
xSLG against
.369
xwOBA against
.302
FIP
4.09
ERA
2.76
114.33 IP
WAR
1.6
Expected stats come from Statcast as MLB's Stats API publishes them: what the quality of contact was worth, before defense and luck.
Ranked around Troy Melton
- #107George SpringerDHTOR
- #108Dillon DinglerCDET
- #109Payton TolleSPBOS
- #111Lawrence ButlerOFATH
- #112Joe RyanSPMIN
- #113Nico Hoerner2BCHC
Best fantasy teammates
Detroit Tigers depth chart- #32Riley GreeneOFDET
- #102Kevin McGonigleSSDET
- #108Dillon DinglerCDET
- #193Keider MonteroSPDET
- #204Framber ValdezSPDET
- #227Kenley JansenRPDET
Troy Melton or someone else?
Common questions
Where should I draft Troy Melton in 2027?
Troy Melton is 110th on our 2027 board for 5x5 roto leagues, about round 10 in a 12-team draft, and 197th in standard points leagues.
Is Troy Melton a keeper for 2027?
He is worth a round 10 pick in a 12-team league, so he is a value to keep at any cost later than that round.
What positions is Troy Melton eligible at?
By 2026 games (20 at a position, or 5 starts or 8 relief outings for pitchers) he qualifies at SP. Leagues set their own thresholds.
What team does Troy Melton play for?
Troy Melton is listed with the Detroit Tigers, 4th in the rotation on the depth chart.
More: 2027 starting pitcher rankings, dynasty rankings and keeper values. He is the 110th pick on our board.
By the Parlae deskPlayer data updated Oct 14, 2026 at 7:53 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number