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Keegan Murray or Tobias Harris? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), PFs ranked 20th and 22nd at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 24, 12:27 PM ET.

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FP/G
28.1
9-cat
#103
Last 2 FP
13.8

3 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

FP/G
26.2
9-cat
#97
Last 10 FP
29.0

Game-time decision (Calf)

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Keegan Murray. Both have 1 game left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 28.1 fantasy points to 26.2.

9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -1.2 category value for the week to -1.3, because his category mix is worth more there.

Tobias Harris has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Keegan Murray's minutes are down: 27.2 a game over his last 2 games of 2026-27, against 33.6 on the board.

Tobias Harris's minutes are down: 20.5 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.7 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Tobias Harris rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekKeegan MurrayTobias Harris
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)11
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games27.2 (last 2)20.5 (last 5)
Minutes, board33.627.7
Shots per 36, last games11.313.7
InjuryNone listedGame-time decision (Calf)
Projected fantasy points28.126.2
Projected 9-cat value-1.3-1.2

Schedule: Keegan Murray Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM. Tobias Harris Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatKeegan MurrayTobias Harris
Points13.113.3
Rebounds5.45.1
Assists1.52.5
Steals1.00.9
Blocks1.40.4
Threes1.21.3
Turnovers1.11.0

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Keegan Murray, 28.1 fantasy points per game to 26.2.

9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, 97th overall against 103rd, because the categories reward a different mix.

Keegan Murray vs Tobias Harris: the full comparison, per 36 and by punt build

Per game, side by side

StatKeegan MurrayTobias Harris
Fantasy points per game28.126.2
Minutes33.627.7
PointsPTS13.113.3
ReboundsREB5.45.1
AssistsAST1.52.5
StealsSTL1.00.9
BlocksBLK1.40.4
Threes3PM1.21.3
Field goal %FG%41.0%46.9%
Free throw %FT%80.0%86.6%
TurnoversTO1.11.0

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Keegan Murray playing tonight? · Is Tobias Harris playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Keegan Murray or Tobias Harris in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Keegan Murray. Both have 1 game left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 28.1 fantasy points to 26.2. 9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -1.2 category value for the week to -1.3, because his category mix is worth more there. Tobias Harris has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Keegan Murray's minutes are down: 27.2 a game over his last 2 games of 2026-27, against 33.6 on the board. Tobias Harris's minutes are down: 20.5 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.7 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Keegan Murray or Tobias Harris?

    Points leagues: Keegan Murray, 28.1 fantasy points per game to 26.2. 9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, 97th overall against 103rd, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Keegan Murray or Tobias Harris?

    Keegan Murray is ahead in 3 (rebounds, steals, blocks); Tobias Harris in 5 (assists, threes, field goal percentage, free throw percentage, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 12:27 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number