Keegan Murray vs Tobias Harris: who to start in Week 1
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Keegan Murray: 84.2 projected fantasy points to 78.5 for Tobias Harris. Over the season, Keegan Murray leads in points leagues (28.1 fantasy points a game to 26.2) and Tobias Harris in 9-cat leagues (97th against 103rd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #101
- 28.1 FP/G, slot 9.05, $9
- 9-cat leagues
- #103
- -1.3 z, slot 9.07, $8
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #125
- 26.2 FP/G, slot 11.05, $6
- 9-cat leagues
- #97
- -1.2 z, slot 9.01, $8
Game-time decision (Calf)
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Keegan Murray. 28.1 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 101st on our board to 125th.
9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (97th to 103rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and BLK) and Tobias Harris in 5 (AST, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Tobias Harris produces more: 34.0 fantasy points to 30.1, on 27.7 minutes a night against 33.6. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Keegan Murray: 84.2 projected fantasy points to 78.5 for Tobias Harris.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keegan Murray | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 28.1 | 26.2 |
| Minutes | 33.6 | 27.7 |
| PointsPTS | 13.1 | 13.3 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| AssistsAST | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| BlocksBLK | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Threes3PM | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.0% | 46.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 80.0% | 86.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 23 | 63 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keegan Murray | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 30.1 | 34.0 |
| Points | 14.1 | 17.2 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 6.7 |
| Assists | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Keegan Murray | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| AssistsAST | -1.0 | -0.6 |
| StealsSTL | +0.0 | -0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | +1.4 | -0.6 |
| Threes3PM | -0.4 | -0.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.0 | +0.6 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.9 | +1.1 |
| Total | -1.3 | -1.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists, threes, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Keegan Murray.
| Punt | Keegan Murray | Tobias Harris |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -0.8 (#94) | -0.7 (#90) |
| REB | -1.3 (#109) | -1.0 (#94) |
| AST | -0.3 (#63) | -0.7 (#83) |
| STL | -1.4 (#118) | -1.0 (#95) |
| BLK | -3.0 (#170) | -0.8 (#85) |
| 3PM | -0.9 (#91) | -0.9 (#96) |
| FG% | +0.1 (#58) | -1.0 (#88) |
| FT% | -1.3 (#110) | -1.8 (#130) |
| TO | -2.3 (#119) | -2.4 (#121) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Keegan Murray: 3 games (Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM).
- Tobias Harris: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back, listed GTD.
Recent games
- Keegan Murray: 13.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 28.1 on the board.
- Tobias Harris: 29.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 26.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keegan Murray playing tonight? · Is Tobias Harris playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Tobias Harris
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keegan Murray or Tobias Harris?
Points leagues: Keegan Murray. 28.1 fantasy points per game against 26.2, 101st on our board to 125th. 9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -1.2 in summed z-scores against -1.3 (97th to 103rd), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Keegan Murray or Tobias Harris?
Category by category, Keegan Murray is ahead in 3 (REB, STL and BLK) and Tobias Harris in 5 (AST, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Keegan Murray or Tobias Harris?
Keegan Murray plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Tobias Harris 3. For that week alone, start Keegan Murray: 84.2 projected fantasy points to 78.5 for Tobias Harris.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number