Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Alvin Kamara? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara
- Market projects
- 9.3
- recent weeks avg
- BUF D vs RB
- 27.3
- 3rd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 25%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 6%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 7.6
- recent weeks avg
- CLE D vs RB
- 19.4
- 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Through Week 7
- Target share
- 13%
- Through Week 7
Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Alvin Kamara 64 (7.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 9.3 points and Alvin Kamara at 7.6, a gap of 1.7. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 9.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (11.3 and 7.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 7.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (8.2 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Alvin Kamara at 164.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 11.3 and 7.4 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 9.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
No Week 9 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 8.2 and 7.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 7.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.7 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.
Alvin Kamara and NO host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.
Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.
Through Week 7, Alvin Kamara played 35 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.
Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.
Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.
Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.
He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.
He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Alvin Kamara 64 (7.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Alvin Kamara?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games), Alvin Kamara 64 (7.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?
Week 9 on the board
- Is Aaron Jones Sr. playing Week 9?
- Is Alvin Kamara playing Week 9?
- Vikings depth chart
- Saints depth chart
- Week 9 RB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings