Should I drop Chase Brown for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Chase Brown projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 10 games) and Aaron Jones Sr. 153 (15.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chase Brown over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

Start Chase Brown or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:41 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 25, 3:43 PM ET: Aaron Jones Sr.: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Chase Brown over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · vs TEN

Market projects: 15.6; recent weeks avg
TEN D vs RB: 22.0; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 71%; Through Week 7
Target share: 15%; Through Week 7

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at DET · Questionable

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 19.8; 10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 20 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 25%; Through Week 7
Target share: 4%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Chase Brown?

Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games) and Chase Brown 154 (15.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chase Brown over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Chase Brown over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 15.6 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 13.7, a gap of 1.8. No player market is posted for Chase Brown this week yet, so his 15.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (17.7 and 13.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (16.2 and 11.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Chase Brown at ADP 16 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Chase Brown yet. His market-based projections were 17.7 and 13.5 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 15.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chase Brown is 0.7 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.2 and 11.3 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.6 touchdowns (12 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 1.8 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN host TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 22.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Chase Brown has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Chase Brown played 71 percent of CIN snaps, took 63 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 5 against MIA: 39 of 65 snaps, 13 carries for 39 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 7 against BAL: 40 of 53 snaps, 11 carries for 39 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 19 yards.

Through Week 7, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Chase Brown?
Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games) and Chase Brown 154 (15.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chase Brown over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Chase Brown for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Chase Brown projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 10 games) and Aaron Jones Sr. 153 (15.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Chase Brown over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Chase Brown?