Start Christian McCaffrey or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 10:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Christian McCaffrey over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

Christian McCaffrey

RB · SF · at ATL

Market projects: 22.9; fantasy pts
ATL D vs RB: 22.8; 12th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 95 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 72%; Through Week 6
Target share: 21%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 23.9; 6th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at RB

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian McCaffrey projects 208 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (20.8 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 168 (15.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian McCaffrey over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Christian McCaffrey over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Christian McCaffrey at 22.9 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 6.5. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Christian McCaffrey at ADP 6 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.9 fantasy points for Christian McCaffrey, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian McCaffrey is 61 rushing yards, 45 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 1.2 touchdowns (6, 5, 5 and 6 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.8 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Christian McCaffrey 6.5 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Christian McCaffrey and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 22.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 77 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against ATL and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 23.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 45 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Christian McCaffrey is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Christian McCaffrey played 72 percent of SF snaps, took 48 percent of the carries, drew 21 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 3 against ARI: 45 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 75 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 4 against DEN: 49 of 66 snaps, 15 carries for 52 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 5 against SEA: 49 of 60 snaps, 11 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian McCaffrey, Week 6 against WAS: 53 of 62 snaps, 16 carries for 64 yards, 10 targets and 9 catches for 53 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian McCaffrey played 17 games for SF and scored 416.6 PPR points, 24.5 a game, finishing RB1.

He ran 311 times for 1202 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 102 of 129 targets for 924 yards.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian McCaffrey projects 208 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (20.8 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 168 (15.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian McCaffrey over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Christian McCaffrey for Aaron Jones Sr.?
No. Keep Christian McCaffrey: he projects 208 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (20.8 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 168 (15.3 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian McCaffrey over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.