Start D'Andre Swift or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 9:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start D'Andre Swift over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

D'Andre Swift

RB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 16.4; fantasy pts
NE D vs RB: 20.6; 16th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 90 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 57%; Through Week 6
Target share: 11%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 23.9; 6th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at RB

Should I drop D'Andre Swift for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), D'Andre Swift 153 (15.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts D'Andre Swift over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start D'Andre Swift over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have D'Andre Swift at 16.4 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take D'Andre Swift at ADP 41 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.8 touchdowns (7 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.4 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for D'Andre Swift is 63 rushing yards, 20 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.9 touchdowns (13, 13, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.0 points ahead of D'Andre Swift on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 23.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 45 more yards.

D'Andre Swift and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 16th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

D'Andre Swift is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, D'Andre Swift played 57 percent of CHI snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.

D'Andre Swift, Week 3 against PHI: 50 of 72 snaps, 20 carries for 84 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.

D'Andre Swift, Week 4 against NYJ: 33 of 93 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards.

D'Andre Swift, Week 5 against GB: 40 of 69 snaps, 9 carries for 43 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 1 touchdown.

D'Andre Swift, Week 6 against ATL: 45 of 77 snaps, 16 carries for 44 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 26 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.

He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop D'Andre Swift for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), D'Andre Swift 153 (15.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts D'Andre Swift over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for D'Andre Swift?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), D'Andre Swift 153 (15.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts D'Andre Swift over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.