Start Jonathan Taylor or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 9:31 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Jonathan Taylor over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

Jonathan Taylor

RB · IND · at MIN

Market projects: 18.9; recent weeks avg
MIN D vs RB: 14.3; fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 82%; Through Week 6
Target share: 11%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 26.8; 5th most to RBs (2026)

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jonathan Taylor projects 194 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (19.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jonathan Taylor over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jonathan Taylor over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jonathan Taylor at 18.9 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 2.5. No player market is posted for Jonathan Taylor this week yet, so his 18.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (19.9 and 17.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Jonathan Taylor at ADP 8 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jonathan Taylor yet. His market-based projections were 19.9 and 17.9 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jonathan Taylor is 0.8 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.8 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Jonathan Taylor 2.5 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jonathan Taylor and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 14.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIN and caught passes for 18 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 26.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and a touchdown a game against IND and caught passes for 53 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jonathan Taylor is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jonathan Taylor played 82 percent of IND snaps, took 74 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 49 percent of the red zone chances.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 3 against HOU: 60 of 71 snaps, 23 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 4 against WAS: 47 of 66 snaps, 20 carries for 95 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 5 against PIT: 52 of 71 snaps, 15 carries for 45 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 6 against TEN: 21 carries for 94 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jonathan Taylor played 17 games for IND and scored 362.3 PPR points, 21.3 a game, finishing RB4.

He ran 323 times for 1585 yards and 18 touchdowns, and caught 46 of 55 targets for 378 yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jonathan Taylor projects 194 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (19.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jonathan Taylor over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Jonathan Taylor for Aaron Jones Sr.?
No. Keep Jonathan Taylor: he projects 194 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (19.4 a game over 10 games), Aaron Jones Sr. 182 (16.5 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jonathan Taylor over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.