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Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Keaton Mitchell? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 3:56 PM ET.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
7.3
fantasy pts
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
39 of 100 at RB
Snap share
33%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · at BAL

Market projects
5.7
fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB
19.9
11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
25 of 100 at RB
Snap share
31%
Through Week 9
Target share
9%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell, 7.3 to 5.7 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 7.3 points and Keaton Mitchell at 5.7, a gap of 1.6. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Keaton Mitchell at 190.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.3 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 29 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (14, 13, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.7 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 10 rushing yards, 12 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (3, 7, 5 and 10 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.6 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC visit BAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 9 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and a touchdown a game against BAL and caught passes for 17 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 33 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 17 of 48 snaps, 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 9, Keaton Mitchell played 31 percent of LAC snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 8 against LAR: 19 of 61 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 9 against HOU: 18 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 33 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell, 7.3 to 5.7 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Keaton Mitchell?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell, 7.3 to 5.7 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board