Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Keaton Mitchell? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 25, 3:43 PM ET: Aaron Jones Sr.: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at DET · Questionable

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 19.8; 10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 22 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 25%; Through Week 7
Target share: 4%; Through Week 7

Sit

Keaton Mitchell

RB · LAC · at LAR

Market projects: 7.8; recent weeks avg
LAR D vs RB: 20.6; 14th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 14 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 32%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 141 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 10 games), Keaton Mitchell 28 (2.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 13.7 points and Keaton Mitchell at 7.8, a gap of 5.9. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (16.2 and 11.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell this week yet, so his 7.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (8.6 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Keaton Mitchell at 190.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.2 and 11.3 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.6 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 8.6 and 7.0 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 7.8, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 0.2 touchdowns (9 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 5.9 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC visit LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 45 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Keaton Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Keaton Mitchell played 32 percent of LAC snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 141 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 10 games), Keaton Mitchell 28 (2.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Keaton Mitchell?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 141 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 10 games), Keaton Mitchell 28 (2.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Keaton Mitchell. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?