Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Ollie Gordon II? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 25, 3:43 PM ET: Aaron Jones Sr.: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Ollie Gordon II

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at DET · Questionable

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 19.8; 10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 20 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 25%; Through Week 7
Target share: 4%; Through Week 7

Sit

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · vs NE

Market projects: 10.2; recent weeks avg
NE D vs RB: 20.6; 13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 65 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 83%; Through Week 7
Target share: 14%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Ollie Gordon II. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Ollie Gordon II in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 13.7 points and Ollie Gordon II at 10.2, a gap of 3.5. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (16.2 and 11.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ollie Gordon II this week yet, so his 10.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (9.8 and 10.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.2 and 11.3 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.6 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Ollie Gordon II yet. His market-based projections were 9.8 and 10.7 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 10.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 3.5 points ahead of Ollie Gordon II on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA host NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 35 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Ollie Gordon II played 83 percent of MIA snaps, took 64 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 45 percent of the red zone chances.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 7 against NYJ: 54 of 65 snaps, 25 carries for 103 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Ollie Gordon II. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Ollie Gordon II?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Ollie Gordon II. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?